9.  Inconsistent foreign policy with respect to non-democratic and autocratic regimes. We trade and honor China, and yet Cuba is embargoed. We embargo Iran, even though they have (theoretically free) elections and arguably the most liberal human rights policies in the region, while supporting the authoritarian, non-democratic regimes of Saudi Arabia and others (where the hijackers of 9/11 originated, by the way).

8. The Constitution and our civilian justice system are designed to protect the rights of American citizens — not foreign national terrorists — who should unquestionably be classified as enemy combatants.  By giving some terrorists civilian trials, we are invalidating military tribunals, which exist to provide a legal process for terrorist enemy combatants.

7. We advocate around the world for transparent government that’s free of corruption, and where different parties have a voice in the lawmaking process. Yet, the Democrats are drafting monumental healthcare legislation behind closed doors in secret, and plain old bribery is rampant.  Include Republicans, let the cameras in, publish drafts of bills on the Internet, and let’s show the world we mean what we say.

6. Through the State Department, the World Bank, the WTO, and the IMF, we advocate (and mandate) responsible fiscal and monetary policy. Yet, America has totally unsustainable debt levels that we are only able to currently get away with because the dollar is the world’s primary reserve currency. Artificially low interest rates have had a significant role in creating huge asset bubbles that have threatened the collapse of the capitalist system.

5. Our law enforcement profiles everyday in support of justice, and sometimes innocent people are questioned in pursuit of justice.  Yet, political correctness inhibits the use of profiling in airports.  It’s just an observation that most people who support affirmative action also oppose profiling for security purposes,  even when hundreds and thousands of innocent lives are at stake. So, is profiling a good thing or a bad thing?

4. We believe in and promote the capabilities of the free market to produce world-changing innovation. Yet, the government is undermining, rather than supporting innovation, with its failing public education system, unnecessary meddling and high taxes. When the government intrudes into free markets, it creates unfair disparities and an unpredictable business environment that subverts sustainable and innovative business development. For instance, one year there are tax breaks for battery powered vehicles, and solar electricity installations, and the following year there are not. And, tax breaks for lithium ion gives battery tech an unfair advantage over hydrogen development, or other technologies, for instance. Also, billions of dollars will go to incumbent health information technology players that have archaic systems, which gives them an unfair advantage over smaller, less politically powerful upstarts that have superior solutions.  Government-assisted research and development should be directed to technologies that may be too risky for private investment, but would have a huge public benefit payoff if a breakthrough is achieved.

3. We expect emerging economies to have progressive environmental policy, when America and much of the West built their prosperity with zero regard for the environment. Republicans need to embrace their heritage as the party that founded the political environmental movement. Teddy Roosevelt established the national parks. And, Nixon established the cabinet-level Environmental Quality Council and the Citizens’ Advisory Committee on Environmental Quality, which preceded the establishment of the EPA. Protecting the environment should not be a controversial issue, so let’s develop common sense solutions.  Clean air and water and resource preservation have universal benefits.

2. We say we don’t tolerate genocide, and yet allow it in Rwanda, Sudan and elsewhere.  We can defend freedom and protect the dignity of life, without dropping bombs and killing innocent lives by setting up safe zones. We should be willing to protect and preserve any person that wishes to have freedom and safety. That would be truly respecting the sanctity of life.

1. We need to admit that our values of freedom and equality are supreme, and this justifies a proactive foreign policy in support of our ideals. George Washington and the American Revolutionaries are heroes, even though their methods resembled “terrorist acts” in the eyes of the “Red Coat Marching in Formation Army” of Great Britain, because they were fighting for Life, Liberty and the Pursuit of Happiness. Abraham Lincoln is a hero, even though he used violence to suppress an internal revolt (as Saddam Hussein and other dictators have done), because he stood for liberty and freedom for all. There is quite simply just war and non-just war.

The pace of technological change is accelerating and there is more reason for optimism now than at any point in history.  Within 100 years, the world will have ubiquitous and free energy, healthcare and education. Poverty will be wiped out, sickness and disease will be rare, and world peace will prevail.

A retrospective from 21-10.

By Matt Jaunich.

When a baby is born, he or she is allocated shares in an index fund of multinational equities, which pays monthly dividends, to support a modest lifestyle for life. These annuities, coupled with automated production, enable the pursuit of creative and innovative lives filled with meaning and significance. The arts are flourishing, and churches booming, as people seek meaning and face to face community in an age defined by virtual and intellibot (artificially intelligent bots) relationships. Life expectancy is now well beyond 150 quality years thanks to effective wellness promotion, the ability to manufacture human organs, and other tissue and genetic therapy breakthroughs achieved by the likes of Aubrey de Grey and Ray Kurzweil.

A major factor for wellness and longevity improvement was the shift to naturally derived products, materials and fibers from the toxic ingredients widely used in production during the past century, including poisonous chemicals used in food production, formaldehyde infused building products, synthetic and chemically treated carpeting, VOC paints, and fire retardant chemicals used in bedding. Natural and organic ingredients are also vital for a virtuous cradle to cradle product life-cycle, so production is a regenerative and not a destructive force (God’s Model was a major catalyst in enrolling more than a billion Christians worldwide in committing to this reality).

Landfills remain a vestige of the past century’s unsustainable industrial complex, and we are still working to cleanup waste disposal sites to prevent toxins from further poisoning ground water and wildlife ecosystems.  Many day-to-day supplies are simply manufactured on demand in home printing stations with materials that decompose and fertilize urban food structures.  And, Amazon’s VTOL (vertical takeoff and landing) robotic delivery vehicles ensure the guaranteed delivery of other goods in under three hours anywhere within the continental United States.

The transformation to a clean energy economy did more than save consumers trillions of dollars, and have wellness and environmental benefits resulting from clean air and water. The primary funding source of Islamic terrorist extremists was cutoff, which paves the way for a new Marshall Plan for the broken Islamic World that had been ravaged by war and instability.  The “Safe and Free Zones,” with Vulture Defense biometric security systems, succeeded in providing a clear choice throughout the Middle East, Afghanistan and Pakistan between economic prosperity, security and freedom, and subsisting under the tyrannical rule of terrorists, which nearly eliminates Islamic extremism.

Peace on earth prevails, as economic opportunity extends to everyone, and abundant fresh water (primarily from desalinization, which also conveniently counters the threat of rising oceans) and free energy (sourced from a mix of ambient air, sun, geo-thermal, wind and the ocean energies) curtails violent struggles over resources. The huge militaries of China and the United States are dismantled and replaced by small and agile IPU’s (Intelligence Policing Units) that protect humanity from the remaining fringe fanatics.

Freedom also reigns supreme. Oppressive regimes can’t survive in a transparent world, where censorship and propaganda is undermined by instantaneous and free access to news and information through universal worldwide Internet provided by Google’s next-generation Global-Max service. The world community is also enlightened by the capability to freely travel throughout the world, and communicate seamlessly in any language.  In real time, mind reading technology listens to the little voice in your head that says what you want to say, and then generates the words in any language with a digital replication of your voice.

And, because airplanes are fueled by hydrogen generated from free energy, and security risks have been marginalized, the consumer cost to travel collapses to 0, while the airlines are more profitable than ever via advertising and other premium services.  Supersonic flight and sub-orbital flights mean it only takes less than 2 hours to get from San Francisco to Shanghai. And, when you arrive at the airport an autonomous Taxi vehicle takes you where you want for free (also supported by video advertising, a snack and mini bar, and other premium information services). Instantaneous teleporting and time travel have been demonstrated within research labs, and it’s looking promising that these technologies will be commercialized within the next 100 years.

Governments are a tiny fraction of the size they once were.  Blundering bureaucracies, and the ballooning government debt-bomb explosion enabled robust free-market solutions to education, healthcare, and transportation to thrive. The need for policing and emergency units and other public welfare expenses only requires a corporate flat tax of 2%.  The budget for operating the Internal Revenue Service has shrunk from $11 billion in 2009 ($10.5 trillion in today’s dollars) to $5 million today. The tax code, which in 2009 was more than 5.6 million words and 30,000 pages with single-spaced 12 pt font, is now simply half a page.

Transparency and probability management destroys the need for bloated bureaucracy and growth stifling regulation and is an inherently combatting force to corruption, dishonesty, and greed. Total transparency is achieved largely through mandated universal adoption of probability management and a networked, real-time, global Monte Carlo simulation engine, which illuminates the future in powerful ways, to inform optimal decision making in the present (accessed through WarpDrive’s Dashboard, a WarpShare company).  This technology also ensures stable economic growth, so another economic calamity like the busts of 1929, 1999, 2008 and 2016 doesn’t happen again.

The largest boon to the economic growth and prosperity the Earth enjoys today is a result of affordable and universal education offered through computing devices and BrainJump Innovation Centers. The thrust of education is to identify and develop a person’s unique gifts and passions, so life is productive and significant. Personalized learning paths within immersive 3 dimensional virtual spaces are based on students’ individual aptitudes and interests. Learning is also an active experience, rather than the archaic passive and regurgitative experience it once was. Education revolves around innovation, and is fun, collaborative, and individually-paced. And, because learning is connected to real-world problem solving, students no longer ask, “Why do I have to learn this?” Online education is also the great equalizer, as students anywhere in the world have the same access to world-class teaching resources.

Quality of life is dramatically improved by the literal greening of cities, where buildings are living, breathing organisms that complement natural habitats and ecosystems. Smart urban design also promotes health and wellness through social interaction, improved productivity, and supporting a positive state of mind. Most significantly, the use of personal transportation vehicles like Segways, and raised monorail systems, eliminates traffic in and around dense urban centers. In this world, crime is rare, because people are authentically happy. Research has proven that mental health directly impacts overall health and wellness more than any other factor, and advanced monitoring and sensor systems track health metrics, including mental health. Therapies are administered via meBOOST in real time, so people can achieve their full potential.

* bold connotes initiatives I’m developing

The Case for Optimism: Supporting Evidence for the Thesis

The Bush proposal for the partial privatization of social security is prescient of this prediction.

Aubrey de Grey TED talk

Essential reading on transforming how we design and make things – Cradle to Cradle by William McDonough & Michael Braungart –

God’s Model

Mercury levels in fish is rising as a result of increased greenhouse gasses.

Bisphenol A is one of many contaminants found in plastic food packaging.

The safety of chemicals is “the question of the hour for the early 21st Century.” – David Rosner, Professor of history and public health at Columbia University.

3D Object Printing from home

Urban Farms and plastic packaging alternatives -

The transition is already happening via Fair Trade (organic) certification, which is extending beyond food products to clothing. Building products are similarly rated and evaluated by LEED and others. Appliances are rated for energy efficiency.

Bloom Energy a Kleiner Perkins investment, is developing technology to produce energy from ambient air

Solar Cells are getting more and more efficient

Hydrogen Fuel and clean energy carrier

Safe Zones and the U.S. Iraq exit Strategy

Ryanair foreshadows this prediction, as it offers free tickets to 1/4 of its passengers

The DARPA Grand Challenge: http://www.darpa.mil/grandchallenge/index.asp has already produced autonomous vehicles capable of navigating an urban setting. Several cars already currently have self-breaking and lane assist technologies and can even parallel park This means that vehicles will be able to safely travel on highways at speeds of more than 200 miles per hour, while passengers watch television and drink cold beer with their feet up.

Mind Reading Technology segment on 60 Minutes

Time Travel

2057 Science Channel

The World First Time Machine

Teleportation

Probability Management

Flaw of Averages

Floating city nation states will form, as people escape oppressive taxation and economic stagnation resulting from irresponsible, misinformed, and reckless fiscal and monetary policy. These nation states will provide a model for nations around the world, to effectively eliminate stifling taxation regimes through new revenue generating business models. The Seasteading Institute

SRI International and the Department of Education have studied the efficacy of online education, which has shown to be more effective than conventional education, and online education is still in its infancy. Online programs can scale with virtually additional per user cost.

The most significant last and final threat to humanity is the chance of huge meteor hit, but thanks to the Lifeboat Foundation and their colonies on Moon and Mars, humanity should persist for the foreseeable future.  LIfeboat Foundation

The WSJ has an interesting article today about Google’s efforts to combat employee attrition, and support the development of innovative products.  “Innovation reviews” are a good start, to identify and cultivate promising ideas.  However, the potential to generate personal wealth through founding a successful startup is something right now big companies do not offer innovation champions.  And, stock options are not as much of a magnet, as they are when a company is young and experiencing start-up growth. In order to retain stars, companies need to find a way to reward exceptional performance beyond a normal bonus payout and promotion.

Several companies, including Google, have a “Digg” like platform for employees to submit and vote on ideas. Imagine taking that general concept to the next level and creating a securities exchange for internal projects within big companies.  The founders of an idea wold be granted stock by an internal venture capital board that invest in the micro-entities. Initially, the value and priority of projects is determined via internal trading, but when the product launches, there is an IPO, which is open to the public, and if the product turns out to be a runaway success, the founders of the product would monetarily share in its success, as their micro-entity (product) securities appreciate.

I look forward to your thoughts.

I can’t stop thinking about google Wave, and what a compelling innovation case study it is.

I think Wave is a game-changer. Wave fundamentally redefines online communication (email and instant messaging) and document collaboration.

And, it was created by five people working together in a conference room.

By contrast, Microsoft Labs, the innovation lab for Microsoft has had more than 500 employees (there were recent cut backs).  The only memorable product they created was Photosynth, which is cool, but is not a competitive game-changer.

And, Microsoft Bing will be launched with a $100 million advertising campaign.  It looks like a good search engine, but it plays today’s game, and doesn’t invent the future.

I heard someone say that advertising is the price companies pay for unremarkable products.  Have you ever seen Google advertise any product on primetime television?

I guess the Apple ads are an exception, because Apple products are remarkable.  However, they need to compete with Microsoft and its huge advertising budget, so maybe the combination of advertising and a great product can provide a one-two punch, but a huge advertising budget can not in itself generate a sustainable competitive advantage.

Previous related posts:

plea to Microsoft.

The History of Microsoft.

My idea for an apple ad.

check out this new technology, a hygienic door handle solution for public bathrooms.

Demo video here.

Innovation Lessons From The 1930s – Forbes.com.

I’ve seen visual search engines like searchme, which are not really usable for me because I can’t read the images (sort of like what I said about Snap previews – an interesting gimmick), but Oamos is different!

Your search results play like a movie and cycles through images, related keyword bubbles, and audio clips! It’s not that functional at this point, but a very intriguing glimpse into the future of search engine results! (the experience is really amazing on my cinema display!)

Check out Oamos here!

Michael Arrington has announced the specs of the second prototype of the CrunchPad.

I wonder if the real innovation here is the process by which the product is being developed.

To use Sam Savage’s analogy (doesn’t quite work perfectly in this case but close enough): The CrunchPad is a lightbulb, but the process by which it was created is like electricity that can potentially power many light bulbs.

Basically, Michael is using the reach and power of the TechCrunch platform, to inexpensively crowd source the development of the product (like Cambrian House, but more effectively?)

“Companies and countries that really play offense vis a vis technology and innovation are going to come out ahead.”

– Jeffrey Immelt